By Kevin O’Neill
More than ten years after being exposed in Sports Illustrated
by Rick Reilly, there’s a scam that just won’t go
away. There’s a good chance that you got a copy of The
Football Betting Guide in the mail recently. It is not a publication
that has become dishonest in an effort to survive. Rather, it
was created for the express purpose of perpetuating a scam.
The “publishers”, who use pseudonyms and a phony
address, purport to rank sports books and handicappers. It has
been proven that they own the handicapping firms they rank near
the top and one can only imagine the relationships they have
with the sports books.
Let’s get something straight here, other than a few
legitimate (and there are many illegitimate) monitors like
The Sports Monitor and SportsWatch, there is no publication
that does a true “ranking” of sports handicapping
firms. And any recommendation of sports books is colored by
financial relationships; there is no benevolent independent
organization out there that simply wants to help you. If this
is news to you here’s another flash: there’s no
Easter Bunny.
One wily thing the Football Betting Guide hustlers do is
to credit many handicappers with better records than they
actually earned. If you think about it, a 53% handicapper
credited with a 58% mark is unlikely to look to expose these
guys. It would be refreshing to see one of the big name handicappers
show some integrity and courage by renouncing their ranking,
but I won’t hold my breath.
If you’re tempted to suggest that these guys are at
all authoritative, consider the following. This year’s
Football Betting Guide says that my friend Mike Lee “has
a bright future”. Mike died last September. While there
are some hard working handicappers doing a good job for Friends
of Mike Lee Sports, that kind of ignorance (and insensitivity,
you think Mike’s friends and family like reading that?)
shows that you shouldn’t trust a single word uttered
by Football Betting Guide and their equally sleazy imitators.
My Strategic Sports Publishing selection service was the
#1 service out of 150+ monitored by The Sports Monitor with
a 74-34 (68.5%) pointspread mark. Get my “go with”
and “go against” teams for this season in my Maximum
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What a nightmare for the defensive coordinators. Maryland
against Navy should be an interesting offensive chess match
between Ralph Friedgen (63% vs. the pointspread at Maryland)
and Paul Johnson (65% vs. the pointspread at Navy). If you
admire military academy players you’ll be pleased to
hear that Navy’s former battering ram of a fullback
Kyle Eckel has a live shot of making the Patriots roster as
an undrafted free agent. I suppose he could be called up to
active duty at some point, but you would think the Navy and
Army would be savvy enough to allow these guys to play while
doing recruiting appearances. A case can be made that they
should be on the front lines with their fellow academy grads,
so make them serve a more active duty role in the off season.
Seems like it would work for most, and be great publicity
at a time where military recruiting is understandably down.
Looking for a lot of college football action this weekend?
Join Nelly’s Sportsline, ASA, Al McMordie, Tom Stryker,
and yours truly for big games every weekend at www.Vegas5.com.
Life imitates Playmakers: Michael Thompson, who played for
the Falcons for three years and then had cups of coffee with
the Seahawks and the Jets before washing out of the league
a year ago, was arrested on three counts of armed robbery
this week. Thompson robbed three hotel guests at gunpoint
down the street from the Falcons former training complex in
Suwanee, Georgia.
Let’s take a look at a college game this weekend. Interesting
matchup between coaches who haven’t coached on college
campuses in a long time. Both Charlie Weis and Dave Wannstedt
have headed back to their alma maters to take over programs
with a lot of history to them. When you think back to last
season you remember that Pitt was significantly better than
the Irish, then you see that in Pitt’s 41-38 win in
South Bend last November they were actually an 11-point dog!!
That line was an overreaction to ND’s win at Tennessee
the previous week.
We see the coaching change at Notre Dame as a positive and
doubt that is the case at Pitt. Weis was as good an offensive
coach as you’ll find in the NFL (to say nothing of the
college game) and has a veteran offense (10 starters back)
to work with at Notre Dame. Teams are likely fairly equal
in talent (maybe something of an edge to Pitt) but game planning
and adjustments should go the way of the Irish here. Consider
taking the points with Notre Dame.
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Have a great weekend. Good luck and be careful.
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