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By Kevin O’Neill
BOTCHING STRATEGY BY SECONDS CAN CAUSE
COACHES A LIFETIME OF MISERY
This week’s Wannstedt Award for clock and game management
goes to Giants coach Jim Fassel. Fassel had the right general
idea, kicking on an early down while leaving yourself time
to call a timeout in case of a botch or a block. But he clearly
left too much time. Run it down to 8 seconds or so, leaving
you time for one more play after using your timeout following
a mistake, while not giving the Cowboys the ticks that allowed
them to get into field goal range. Of course if Matt Bryant,
who kicks a football for a living, just delivers an in-bounds
kickoff the strategic mishap wouldn’t have been an issue.
A few years ago in Atlanta, Georgia Tech beat Georgia when
a 3rd down field goal was blocked, but holder George Godsey
jumped on the ball and the game winning field goal occurred
on the next play. Ironically, the losing quarterback that
day was Quincy Carter, who was the winning signal caller on
Monday night.
On Monday night Al Michaels throws it to the sideline to
Lisa Guerrero, who reports that New York Giant Keith Hamilton
is injured and unlikely to return. Simple enough, right? Then
why did she need to pause and search her notepad in mid-sentence
to find Keith Hamilton’s name? Yikes. That poor girl
is in for a long year. Incidentally, when Guerrero was a New
England Patriots cheerleader her name was Lisa Coles. She
took her mother’s maiden name to “honor”
that side of the family. Certainly had nothing to do with
making herself more marketable in the TV world, did it? Maurice
Clarett is involved in academic fraud, lies to police about
the value of items stolen out of his “borrowed”
luxury vehicle, reporting that two built-in television monitors
and stereo equipment worth $5,000, $800 in cash, $300 in clothing
and 300 compact discs were stolen, and his best option is
considered by many to be what? Attend a historically black
school that plays 1-AA football. When you say, “this
guy’s trouble, so send him to Grambling (or wherever)”
doesn’t it insult the named school, implying that they
have no standards of personal behavior?
If you live in Vegas or you’ll be there on Friday night,
September 26th, stop by the Stardust Sports Book at 9PM. Yours
truly will be competing that night in the Stardust Invitational
handicapping tournament. Say hello and mention that you’re
a Midweek Musings reader. Thanks to Bob Scucci and the Stardust
sports book staff for inviting us.
Pro athletes are renowned for creating foundations for no
reason other than to have a golf tournament, a celebrity hoops
game, and a tax dodge. That’s why it is so refreshing
to see what former Phoenix Suns start Kevin Johnson has done.
KJ’s alma mater, Sacramento (California) High School
was a miserable failure of an institution. This far-too-typical
urban school was wrought with academic underperformance and
discipline problems. Johnson’s group The St. HOPE Foundation,
convinced the local school board to close it down and allow
the organization to open up a charter school. With new leadership,
a new curriculum, and some new teachers in place, 1,500 students
in an assembly to open the school hailed KJ as a conquering
hero, cheering him wildly. Things are going well at the new
Sacramento High, although their resources are being drained
somewhat by the necessity of fighting off legal challenges
from the teachers unions, who value jobs for their members
over the education of kids in Sacramento. Imagine if more
athletes followed Johnson’s lead and use their prominence,
wealth, and influence in such an overwhelmingly positive fashion?
Now back to the negative side of the NBA ledger. Celtics
mega-money bust Vin Baker, who was suspended last year while
he sought alcohol treatment, has announced he is an alcoholic.
No kidding? In a related note, I have announced that I eat
too many fatty meats. The dreaded “statement of support”
has reared its ugly head early this season. That’s the
Arizona AD propping up John Mackovic after successive blowout
home losses to LSU and Oregon by a combined 107-23. Mackovic
is, of course, as good as gone. The Wildcats fired Dick Tomey
for this? You can be sure that the boosters in Tuscon are
vocally reminding the administration that at the same time
that Mackovic was hired two years ago, up the road in Tempe
they were hiring Dirk Koetter, who will be the Arizona State
head coach just as long as he wants to.
How easy would it be to get some money together, head off
to a white sand beach in the Caribbean, open up a sports book,
and sip coladas while laughing all the way to the bank? Find
out how by reading “Beachfront Gold Mine: Is Owning
an Offshore Sports Book a License to Print Money?” at
www.consumerbet.com.
Let’s take a deep look into a college football game
for this week. Coach Paul Johnson enters his second year at
the Naval Academy. Johnson was the offensive coordinator here
and did great things in the mid-90’s. The Navy program
dropped off the map after he left for Georgia Southern. They
started slow last year but late last season had a 19-point
cover vs. Notre Dame, a 24-point cover against Wake Forest,
and drubbed Army 58-12. With 13 returning starters (that’s
a bunch for a service academy), Navy has covered their only
lined game, leading TCU 3-0 at halftime before the homestanding
Horned Frogs came back to win 17-3. Their strength, the running
game, was shut down in Fort Worth, but remember that TCU had
the top run defense in the nation last year, with opponents
only averaging 65 yards per carry on a miniscule 2.0 yards
per rush. After a week off, Navy has an opponent that will
be far more compliant. Eastern Michigan hung with Akron, 24-17,
but was outgained 471-284. In three games this year, EMU’s
only win is against 1-AA East Tennessee State. In that game
EMU had to come back from a TD deficit in the second half
to win 28-21. In between ETSU and Akron, the Eagles were destroyed
34-12 on their home field by Western Illinois, one of the
nation’s better 1-AA teams.
Navy will win the rushing yardage in this game by a huge
margin. In their three games, two against 1-AA competition,
Eastern Michigan has only 138 rushing yards. Teams that win
rushing big win and cover games and we’ll look for Navy
to do that here. There are two things that keep us from considering
this to be a stronger play, however. Navy’s slowish
secondary has largely been responsible for their defense allowing
34 points or more each of the past three years. EMU QB Chinedu
Okoro has shown some proficiency through the air. Also, Navy
has not demonstrated much of a home field advantage. The Midshipmen
are 4-17-1 against the spread since the start of the 1998
season. Still like the matchup, and look for Navy to win by
21.
Indiana Pacers general manager Larry Bird is part of an investment
group seeking to open a casino in his hometown of French Lick,
which was a gambling haven back in the prohibition days. What
do you think David Stern will have to say about that? I like
ESPN /ABC’s Gary Thorne. The few times a year that hockey
hits our TV we enjoy him and don’t mind him at all for
baseball either. But it was jarring to hear the voice of TV
hockey doing the Auburn at Georgia Tech and Georgia Tech at
Florida State games the past two weeks. After all, you don’t
hear Keith Jackson doing events from Maple Leaf Gardens. Thorne’s
a crackerjack broadcaster and all, but can he be slotted for
the Big Ten, Big East, and Big 12 North? Then again, with
the legendary Jackson staying close to home by doing only
Pac Ten games there aren’t really any play-by-play men
who sound as though they have gravy with their biscuits.
For free picks and analysis this weekend call our free hotline
at 1-770-649-1078. It is updated every football game day so
check it out if you can.
The Giants and Redskins both played wild, high-octane games
last weekend. Washington beat Atlanta 33-31 and the Giants
lost a heartbreaker in overtime to the Cowpokes 35-32. How
often do you see a team play in a game that wears out the
scoreboard and then come back the next week and play a snoozer?
There’s added line value as well, as the line adjusts
to reflect these higher scores. We’ll look for these
clubs to revert to their opening week form, when they both
played under the total by double digits. Take under 43 with
the ‘skins and Jints.
Thanks for reading. Good luck this weekend. Be careful.
If you’d like to get this newsletter directly via email
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About the Author: Kevin O’Neill
is the director of content for www.ConsumerBet.com.
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