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By Kevin O’Neill
Imagine that LSU pulls a very mild upset over Auburn in their
early season meeting. Imagine then that they both go undefeated
the rest of the way, and LSU wins the SEC Championship game.
Imagine that after the loss Auburn goes undefeated and finishes
with one loss. Could they then meet in a national championship
BCS game? Sure, with both teams sporting 8 home games this year
and benefiting in their power ratings from a tough SEC schedule,
it is a plausible scenario. Though plausible, of course it is
also unlikely, but that’s why you can get better than
800-1 on LSU beating Auburn in the BCS title match or better
than 1000-1 on Auburn toppling LSU. Michigan beating Southern
Cal is better than 600-1. If turning a few bucks into 10 grand
is something you’d like to shoot for this fall, check
out what the odds are of your potential BCS title matchups.
Click
here and visit “NCAA football futures” before
Thursday’s kickoffs for this unique and fun prop.
You’ll notice this weekend that the collegian clock
is running a lot more than it used to. In an effort to shorten
games, the college football clock will run as soon as it is
kicked off and as soon as it is spotted after changes of possession,
out of bounds plays, and incomplete passes. There is no reversion
to the old rules in the final 5 minutes or 2 minutes, so there
is little reason for a team to spike the ball at the line
anymore, other than to trade a few seconds for a better formation
and a chance to call a play at the line (and not huddle).
Strategically this will really hurt two-minute offenses and
there will likely be less late game drama this year. In addition
to having 7 fully analyzed college game selections and 8 system
plays in this week’s Maximum Profit Football Annual
we discuss 5 influences that this new rule will have on betting
the college game. Call to subscribe at 1-770-649-1078 or for
more information visit www.FootballAnnual.com
and we’ll send a copy of our free annual out to you.
You never want to overreact to the preseason, but if I’m
a Redskins fan I’m nervous. The first team is getting
blown off the ball on both lines and Mark Brunell is aging
before our very eyes, and has not led the starting unit to
a single point thus far. Behind him backup Todd Collins has
completed 18 passes since 1997. Third stringer Jason Campbell
may have been a waste of a first round pick, as the coaching
staff has very little confidence in him. Despite having Ronnie
Brown and Cadillac Williams in his backfield, Campbell really
struggled in college before Auburn’s brilliant offensive
coordinator Al Borges arrived his senior year and put him
in a lot of high percentage situations. While the Redskins
were widely seen as having executed a coup by keeping Gregg
Williams as defensive coordinator, the Skins defense was actually
20 yards per game worse last year than they were the year
before. Again, it is only the preseason but folks have got
to be nervous inside the beltway.
Before getting to a football pick for you, it has been a
rough week in the horse racing world. Breeders’ Cup
Classic champion Saint Liam had to be put down after a freak
accident being led to his barn. West coast sprinting phenom
Lost in the Fog is riddled with cancer and only has a week
or two at best. Here’s some fun video from the heartland
for you. There is summertime horse racing at the Nebraska
State Fair and then the Cornhusker State’s racing moves
from Lincoln to a little four-day meet in Omaha at Horseman’s
Park, a little 5/8ths of a mile “bullring”. With
only four days of racing you can’t expect that there
might be a snafu here or there in the operations, but you
would think that they’d figure out a way to get the
gate out of the way before the horses come around the track.
Disaster is narrowly averted on this video….http://www.ketv.com/sports/9555017/detail.html
Let’s look at a football play for you. Over his long
tenure, Ken Hatfield did a nice job at Rice but the past couple
of years have been disastrous, particularly defensively. The
Owls gave up an astronomical 39 points and 441 yards last
season. Under new coach Todd Graham they return roughly half
their defense. Now Graham has a defensive background (defensive
coordinator at Tulsa, co-DC at West Virginia) and at Tulsa
worked first hand with Steve Kragthorpe in that reclamation
project. But Tulsa’s D has been no prize and Rice simply
doesn’t have the horses to be effective defensively.
The Owls must enhance their talent level. Even improving the
D by a TD and 40 yards leaves them as a 400 yard D giving
up over 4½ TD’s per game. Houston and 9th year
(at least it seems that way) QB Kevin Kolb are poised to light
up the Rice D. Kolb has started 36 straight games for Houston
and if, as expected, he has a big senior year, the Cougars
will improve on last season’s 28 points and 441 yards
per game.
Houston’s defense is no prize, but this 27-point, 397-yard
unit from last year should improve with 9 returning starters.
And can Rice move the ball at all? They’re going from
option to spread under 27-year old offensive coordinator Major
Applewhite. No stretch to say that Applewhite was hired for
the cache his name has in recruiting the state of Texas as
opposed to the work he did as quarterbacks coach at Syracuse,
where the QB’s combined for a mere 6 TD passes last
year in the nation’s 105th ranked passing offense. Though
Rice threw the ball more the past couple of years, it will
take some time to turn Hatfield’s option personnel into
a cohesive spread offense.
While laying points with a shaky defense should give you
reason to pause, the Rice offense may pretty helpless early.
Rice is unveiling some stadium improvements but really have
no discernable home field edge with Houston brining plenty
of fans a mere 6 miles across town. Despite concerns about
the ability of favorites to stretch out leads with the new
college clock rules, a comfortable 3TD+ win by the Cougars
will be no surprise. Houston may be one of the better big
favorite plays on the board this week.
Thanks for reading this far. Remember to visit www.FootballAnnual.com
to get your 16-page football annual for free and/or to get
Sports & Gaming News emailed to you every week during
the football season. Good luck and be careful.
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