By Kevin O’Neill
Good for Clemson and South Carolina for
turning down their bowl bids to make a strong statement after
their wild 60-yard brawl on Saturday. But would they have
made the same decision if the bowls they were turning down
were in Jacksonville and Orlando instead of Shreveport and
Boise? Too bad for Lou Holtz, who cracked wise at his farewell
press conference, saying that both he and Woody Hayes saw
their careers end in a fight against Clemson. Holtz quietly
has a tremendous commitment behind the scenes to cancer patients
and other terminally ill folks. There is much to admire about
him.
A few questions about Detroit’s NBA riot:
- How is Jamal Tinsley not suspended when replays clearly
showed him brandishing a long, sharp object (hey those industrial
dustpans could slice a cornea) and swinging it at fans?
- The NBA issued a gag order to prevent players from other
teams commenting on the brawl. Can the NBA say “Our
average player has the IQ of a turnip” any more clearly?
- When people say it is a “societal issue” what
society are they talking about?
- Did you catch the jock sniffathon on ESPN in the hours
following the histrionics? I realize that broadcasters have
to give players a lot of leeway in order to protect their
access for interviews and such, but what would an athlete
actually have to do to get criticized by these guys, criticize
people on the #7 train heading to Shea Stadium or something?
We’ve made mention of the terrific year we’ve
had, as Strategic Sports Publishing late telephone service
is now documented at 58-28 (67.4%) against the spread on the
full season, including a spectacular 40-14 (74%) in college
football. We’ve also relayed some of the positive reviews
and kind words that media types and readers of my new book
have passed along (read review at www.realworldsports.com).
So it is only fair to offer some equal time by displaying
an email we got this week:
“As a subscriber and advertising agent for a book
company let me say how upset I was reading you criticize a
fellow client for having the audacity to question the "great"
Kevin! Who do you think you are? I've read and listened to
you bully others, and myself and others are fed up with your
style. Your plays are worthless...your reasoning is insane...and
your books has page after page of quotes stolen from other
authors without crediting them! You'd think someone who went
to a Catholic school would know better. I've talked to many
of my Vegas sources and they, to a man, tell me you're the
laughingstock of 'cappers! Please cancel my subscription immediately
and I've taken the time to contact your publishing company
about the plagiarism that's been used in your books!”
Wow, imagine how pissed off this guy would be if I was “only”
63% or so for the season. Actually, this “subscriber”
and “client” didn’t sign his name, is nowhere
in our email records, and I have no idea what he’s talking
about in regards to me bullying others and criticizing clients.
But that doesn’t mean his views shouldn’t be aired
in an era when Michael Moore’s movies are considered
“worthy of consideration”. I’ll look forward
to receiving future emails from him on how no plane actually
hit the Pentagon, how the Clinton’s ordered the murders
of over 80 opponents, how my kidneys might get stolen by some
chick who drugs me at a bar, etc. etc.
Happy Thanksgiving, but you should be careful this weekend,
especially if you’re not the smartest gambler in the
world (you know who you are). There’s a reason that
the scamdicappers of the world isolate this weekend for big
marketing campaigns and have their boiler rooms fully staffed
on Thanksgiving morning. Some people tend to go overboard
when they’re planted in front of the tube for a few
days. Be wise.
NFL favorites went 12-3-1 to the number last week. Bookies
don’t do well on a day like that. They don’t do
well at all on a day like that. They also haven’t liked
the results of the selection packages at www.Vegas5.com,
which have been winning consistently. Check out that site
to see what’s going on this weekend.
Let’s talk about the BCS. First of all, the BCS has
absolutely ravaged the bowls. It wasn’t that long ago
that the Rose, Orange, Sugar, and Fiesta Bowls would all be
interesting. They would all contain matchups that people wanted
to see and as many as three would have had national championship
implications, even if one of them was of the “If Team
A wins big in the Orange Bowl and Team B struggles in the
Sugar Bowl…” variety. In the new system most years
there is one meaningful bowl. When the system screws over
someone a second meaningful bowl is added, as the jilted team
plays for their own form of national championship. The other
two bowls see scalpers unloading 40-yard line tickets for
$5 amidst a decided lack of buzz. The Rose Bowl can be an
exception to this, simply because it is the Rose Bowl, but
in their non-championship years the Fiesta, Sugar, and Orange
Bowls attract scant interest outside of fans of the attending
teams. That didn’t used to be the case and just imagine
the interest if these four bowls were springboards into a
four-team national championship series.
As an aside, the Bowl Championship Series is not a championship
series involving bowl games. It is brilliant revenue creation
strategy created by former SEC head man Roy Kramer that the
networks and media have swallowed hook, line, and sinker.
The BCS was crated to get the most money for the power conferences.
The purpose of this influx of cash is so the college athletic
directors could add to their fiefdoms and bureaucracy, take
their wives on junkets, save their friends from a life of
selling insurance by hiring them in cushy administrative roles,
and maybe have enough money left over to spiff up the weight
room.
Last Thursday’s New York Times ran an article headlined
“Republicans Outnumbered in Academia”. I turned
to the sports section looking for an article entitled “Football
Played with Oblong Ball” and expected the business section
to run a story trumpeting “Money Desired by Entrepreneurs”.
Alas, I was disappointed.
Rapper Old Dirty Bastard died last week at age 35. He had
just completed a prison sentence for escaping from a rehab
clinic. The wire story included the following item:
“When MTV News followed him around at the height
of his popularity, he took the camera crew and several of
his kids (he was said to have more than a dozen, by numerous
mothers) to the welfare office -- in a limousine -- to get
an allotment of food stamps.
And he received them.”
And you wonder where the NBA guys get it from. Of course
interesting lifestyles are not limited to professional basketball
players. The wife of John Daly recent plead guilty in a federal
money laundering case. The AP story reported:
“Daly met his fourth wife at the FedEx St. Jude
Classic in Memphis in 2001 and married her seven weeks later
in Las Vegas.”
Charming.
When you’ve got the Smurf Turf advantage, you do everything
you can to avoid leaving your cushy home. That’s why
the Broncos have played only three games away from Boise this
season, and the result has been three pointspread losses,
including the stunning skin-of-the-teeth wins at Tulsa and
at San Jose State. Now BSU is laying big wood to a Nevada
team with a split personality. This is the Wolfpack’s
12th game (NCAA rules allow teams playing at Hawaii to play
12 games) and they sport a 5-6 record. Nevada is 5-0 at home
and 0-6 on the road. Take the big points with the undefeated
homester as Nevada gives Boise a scare.
Do you like a lot of analysis that is often uncluttered with
any advertising whatsoever? Visit my free sports information
phone at 770-618-8700, a 24-hour free voicemail broadcast
that is updated every game day. Dave Fobare has been red hot
on his free hotline at 770-618-8707.
One good way to play NFL totals is to look for reversals
of obvious form. To play a totals streak is usually a losing
proposition in professional football, but we’re going
to play a streak today. After opening the season with four
straight unders, then being involved in a push, the Dolphins
have gone over the total five straight times. The ‘fins
have seen low totals posted on their games after a couple
of nationally televised snoozers earlier in the year. But
with little public attention now, this lousy Dolphin team
has improved their offense while their defense is playing
a decidedly poorer brand of ball than they were earlier in
the campaign. Clearly that hasn’t been reflected in
the lines, and the Fish just keep going over and over. If
they were a contending team playing games that people were
watching it would be time to look for a reversal. But the
public hasn’t noticed the points scored in the last
four Miami games have been (starting with the most recent)
41, 47, 55, and 45. Let’s remember that they’re
playing against a beat up Frisco D that allows 30 points per
game on 5.8 yards per play. Look for some points to be score
in this one. Consider using over the Dolphins total, a move
we made with success in this space last weekend.
Thanks for reading us this week. Good luck and be careful.
If you’d like to get this newsletter directly via email
you can do so by signing up at http://www.consumerbet.com/email.html.
Remember to call our free hotline at 770-618-8700, a free
24-hour service with analysis and selections every game day.
Thanks for reading us this week. Good luck and be careful.
If you’d like to get this newsletter directly via email
you can do so by signing up at http://www.consumerbet.com/email.html.
Remember to call our free hotline at 770-618-8700, a free
24-hour service with analysis and selections every game day.
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