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By Kevin O’Neill
Before getting to less important matters, Veteran’s Day
greetings to those of you who made the sacrifices to bravely
serve us in the military. Godspeed to those serving so honorably
in the current conflicts as well. They are doing tremendous
work. As Bruce Willis said on MSNBC after a trip to the Middle
East, “I am baffled to understand why the things that
I saw happening in Iraq, really good things happening in Iraq,
are not being reported on.”
Although Alabama’s offense has been struggling, QB
Brodie Croyle showed his leadership on Saturday. When senior
center JB Closner broke his leg in the Mississippi State game
Croyle rode back to Tuscaloosa in the ambulance with him.
True freshman Evan Cardwell may have to blow his redshirt
season, as he is now Bama’s backup center. When Bama
WR Tyrone Prothro broke his leg in the Tide’s big win
over Florida it wasn’t a “slap on the cast and
go home” kind of injury. The severity of the fracture
and a subsequent infection kept Prothro in the hospital for
26 days.
What’s so gutsy about Dick Vermeil going for the TD
on the last play of the Chiefs/Raiders game from the 1? From
a probability standpoint it is a no-brainer to go for 1 yard.
Though home teams are slightly more likely to win in overtime,
any NFL team should take the opportunity to score from the
1-yard line over overtime at the conclusion of a game. It
ain’t swashbuckling risk taking, it is plain old common
sense. Getting a yard has a higher probability of occurring
than winning in the overtime does.
Down 7 and facing 4th down inside the Redskins 10 with 1:32
to go, the Eagles call a time out to discuss their options.
Donovan McNabb doesn’t go over to the sideline to talk
to the offensive staff. The Redskins proceeded to call timeout
after seeing the Eagles alignment, and McNabb again doesn’t
go over to the sideline. Not sure if this is de rigueur for
the Eagles, but I can’t remember ever seeing a quarterback
not on the sideline having input after a timeout before a
critical play. Call 770-618-8700 for free weekend football
previews on a recorded 24-hour voice broadcast. And visit
www.Vegas5.com, where
the combined efforts of ASA, Nelly’s Sportsline, Tom
Stryker, Al McMordie, and yours truly have had a very good
year.
In 39 minutes of action in a Wednesday night win over Memphis,
the Celtics’ Mark Blount had one single rebound. Blount
is 7 feet tall. Although they have roared to an undefeated
mark against teams with a combined record of 21-38, it appears
that the Colts really are that much better. While many are
attributing their 40-point performance against the Patriots
on Monday night to the absence of Tyrone Poole and Richard
Seymour and the departure of Ty Law from the Patriots defensive
corps, none of those three played when Indianapolis was held
to 3 points in the AFC playoffs in Foxboro last January.
Indy’s win took the record for NFL favorites on the
weekend to 11-2-1 against the spread. Favorites covered every
teaser, with the exception of Jacksonville merely pushing
the 6-point teaser (though covering all other teasers) in
their 7-point win against the Texans. Discounting pushes,
favorites are a remarkable 50-28 against the spread since
the third week of the NFL season.
Texas Tech is 33-20 (62.2%) against the number in their last
53 games and thus far this season it has been bombs away for
the Red Raiders when playing a team that they simply outclass.
No question that they outclass Oklahoma State. Switching offensive
systems under new head coach Mike Gundy, OSU’s decline
in offensive production was to be expected. But the Cowboy
defense has been a huge disappointment as well. In conference
play Oklahoma State has allowed 34, 38, 37, 62, and 47 points
and are ill suited to slow down Mike Leach’s highly
consistent offensive system. Despite fitting in rather snugly
with numerous contrarian and revenge angles, Okie State could
really get lit up by a Red Raider club that gets to the number
with great frequency.
The Rams/Seahawks total has zoomed up all the way to 51.
Last month Seattle won a shootout 36-30 and that usually leads
to lower scoring the next meeting, as the defenses look to
clamp down. Last season in October these two played to a total
of 60 and then scored a combined 35 points a month later.
Considering that the 3-day forecast in Seattle calls for this
game to be played with temperatures in the high 40’s,
rain, and 14MPH winds, looking under this high number makes
some sense.
Next week we’ll examine how bookies battle bettors,
and how the idea of getting balanced action on games is a
myth. We hoped to take a look at that this week, but handicapping
took precedence. Don’t miss an issue of Sports &
Gaming News. Get this emailed to you each week with a visit
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Have a great weekend. Good luck and be careful.
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