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By Kevin O’Neill
MONDAY NIGHT SITE CHANGE DRIVES BOOKIES
BATTY. THE JACKATHLETES SPEAK. AND SPEAK. AND SPEAK.
Don’t be too upset if your sports book has some down
time. A group of Eastern European hackers have been knocking
down web sites and holding some hostage. They’ve successfully
extorted tens of thousands of dollars from a number of books.
Books pay and then get back up again. The result? A small
victory for the Russian mafia and web security consultants
worldwide. The books are furiously protecting themselves against
further attacks.
Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban and lil’ Danny Snyder
of the Washington Redskins seem to involved in an intersport
war for the hearts of rotisserie and fantasy league aficionados
everywhere. Cuban fired the first shot this week by trading
to the Celtics for “Mr. Shot Selection” Antoine
Walker but Snyder made a strong comeback by getting former
Raiders date rape drug/video maestro and occasional defensive
lineman Darrell Russell, who is fresh off of his NFL suspension.
Now granted, Russell has never even been productive enough
to be overrated, but you’ve got to add bonus points
for untapped potential in this instance. Want some more Redskins
news? Well tough luck, according to our South Carolina/Mountain
Time Zone (don’t ask) inside source Jim Murphy, rumors
abound in the Palmetto State that Steve Spurrier was spotted
in Clemson during the ‘skins bye week. Now we know Snyder
is less than thrilled with Spurrier, and Clemson fans can’t
be trusted not to push Tommy West off the bass boat if given
the chance, but there can’t actually be anything to
that story, can there?
The move of Monday’s Chargers-Dolphins game from San
Diego to Tempe due to the wild fires required a quick decision
by bookmakers. With a few notable exceptions in Las Vegas,
major sports books worldwide called the Dolphins/Chargers
game “no action” upon the change of venue and
then reopened the game for action. Interesting that the “no
action on a change of date” rule is in effect everywhere
while “no action on a change of venue” rule was
not quite so universal. The books were correct to cancel the
bets, however. At most books the line was –3 but at
books that profile their customers (we’ll talk about
books dealing different numbers soon), squares were laying
–3½. If the fires simply caused a one-day delay
in the Chargers/Dolphins game but it was still in San Diego,
there wouldn’t have been a line change. A Tuesday night
delayed game in San Diego still would have been –3 for
most folks. But the moment the game went to a neutral site,
the line went to –6, as the Chargers lost the home field
advantage so important for a Monday night home dog. The integrity
of the proposition was clearly more dependent on the site
than the date. Of course most of the games scheduled to be
played on September 11, 2001 were made up in December (college)
and January (NFL). In this case the date was more important,
as the quality of the teams (both actual and perceived) changed
drastically over that time frame. In any event, we can be
fairly certain that sports books worldwide are busily clarifying
their rules of play this week.
We make it a point not to spend much time watching pregame
shows, and the pain of watching Michael Irvin interview Keyshawn
Johnson and Warren Sapp confirms our usual course of action.
Sapp hilariously tried to justify his “NFL as slavemaster”
comments, hilariously failed, and hilariously had no idea
that he had failed. The constancy of Irvin’s nodding
and agreeing probably gave him the confidence that he was
making valid points of astounding clarity. Sapp’s main
point was that the league gets in the way of his gaining exposure.
Ironically, the NFL announced last week that Sapp is a personality
on their new TV network and following the interview Sapp’s
Right Guard commercial ran. On his expanded interview on the
Sunday night SportsCenter, Keyshawn opined that he’s
a top receiver in the league, when he hasn’t been top
10 for a while and probably isn’t even top 20. He talked
at length about how Bill Parcells is a much better coach than
Jon Gruden, which is certainly a valid opinion, but not something
you say about your own coach.
Sapp and Johnson are prototypes for the jackass athlete or
“jackathlete”. They are maniacally self-centered,
have an overstated opinion of their own importance both on
and off the field, have no problem calling out teammates and
coaches, and simply won’t shut up. The typical jackathlete
has been coddled his entire life by family, friends, coaches,
administrators, agents, and everyone around them. They have
never had a parent, coach, or other respected figure step
up to say, “if you want people to respect you, you need
to give them respect”. We’ll have more on the
phenomenon of the jackathlete next week, highlighting who
we consider to be the godfather of the modern jackathlete.
No, it’s not Reggie Jackson and it isn’t Brian
Bosworth (although those are two very good guesses). It’s
a guy who hit the scene in between those two who simply has
covered it all.
Time for a little betiquette. We get asked a few times a
year a variation of this question. “(Name of Sports
Book) had New Mexico at –2 when they are really supposed
to be –12. I bet $1,000 on it. Should I middle it or
keep the ten points of line value”. The answer is that
you definitely shouldn’t middle it, because the sports
book is going to cancel the play on you and is well within
their rights to do so. Most sports books have in their rules
words to the effect that bets into games with obvious errors
in the line are “no action”. So if you middle
the game, you’ll be a dime heavy on a side you probably
don’t want anything to do with. So what should you do
when you spot a line error? Make a play in your favor at a
bet amount in your usual range. If you’re a $100 don’t
suddenly make a $1000 bet on an obvious error, bet $100 on
it. After making the bet, pick up the phone, call the book,
and ask for a manager. If the clerk tries to screen you say,
“you have an major error in your lines, and I want to
talk to someone about it.” You’ll get through.
Tell the manager, “I just bet $100 on New Mexico at
–2 but I think it is probably a bad line on your part.”
If the guy has even an ounce of class, he’ll spiff you
something. He’ll either let the favorable play stand,
toss $50 in your account, or something similar. Not only do
you do the right thing, but it becomes a win/win situation.
You save the book some money, get something out of it, and
come across as a great customer, which is something that you
can use to your advantage in the future.
If you’re sick of 3½-hour football and baseball
games, have we got the sport for you. The Canadiens/Flyers
game Monday night took less than two hours, 1:52 to be exact.
Another good thing about hockey is that jackathletes are rare.
There is no Steinbrenner, no Theismann, no Shaq, and no Kobe.
Speaking of Kobe, after long and arduous negotiations, I have
retained Jim Gray to be my friend. If I ever become famous
and get in trouble I can be assured of having at least one
rip-roaring supporter.
Having never been at an actual horse race before (he visits
a off track simulcast facility monthly) that guy in the Dakotas
who had the only winning ticket in the Breeders’ Cup
on Saturday appears to be legit, despite the paucity of combinations
he had covered on his $8 ticket ($8!). He had a paper ticket
out of a machine printed out an hours before the first race
of the sequence, it wasn’t through an electronic account,
and racing officials were monitoring the pick six every step
of the way for potential fraud. Just as telling, he has never
set foot on the Drexel University campus. Just a guy who is
at least a little sharp and a lot lucky. Good for him. And
good for Andrew Beyer. Reading the Washington Post writer
and speed figure guru convinced the big winner to include
longshot winner Cajun Beat on his tickets.
If you had a winning ticket in the Breeders’ Cup Turf
and you bet it offshore make sure that you make sure you were
properly credited with your winnings. The race was a dead
heat and some very widely used horse racing software cannot
properly account for exactas in race that finishes up as a
dead heat. Both the 3-9 and 9-3 exactas were winners and we
didn’t get credit for either one. Of course, a phone
call fixed things quickly. Customer service tends to be pretty
good in such a competitive environment and problems are usually
solved pretty rapidly. For a series of articles on offshore
wagering check out www.consumerbet.com.
When a major conference team loses it’s first game
to knock them from the undefeated ranks, they still have a
chance to play for a BCS bowl and even remain in the national
championship hunt despite their one loss. Despite those carrots,
teams that win their first six or more game are a lousy proposition
after losing their first game. If you’re Northern Illinois
this week that secondary motivation doesn’t exist. Their
slim BCS dreams were dashed in their loss to an outstanding
Bowling Green club on Saturday. Now the Huskies have to lay
more than two TD’s into a Ball State team that is better
than most realize. Ball State whipped up on a solid Toledo
outfit by a 38-14 count last Saturday and they won’t
be intimidated by NIU. Northern’s Michael “the
Burner” Turner led running game averages a surprisingly
paltry 3.1 yards per rushing attempt. Take the generous points
with a Ball State club that is not overmatched.
Dan Pastorini is the recipient of a fawning profile on NFL.com
in a “where are they now” segment. See it at http://www.nfl.com/news/story/6736336.
The article mentions his TV work in Houston, his job at a
photo imaging company, and his drag racing interests. Strangely,
nothing is said about his association with “Jeff Allen
Sports”. Jeff D’Ambrosia (who went by “Jeff
Allen”) plead guilty to mail fraud in a case in which
he admitted paying Pastorini “thirty to forty thousand
dollars a year” for about a decade to use his name and
picture and pretend that Pastorini was making football selections
based on “inside information from the locker room”.
Seems that there would have been some fertile ground for questioning
ole’ Dan about his business life. On a somewhat related
note, if you’re not too concerned about problematic
business ethics you can get financial advice from a Viking
great at www.tarkentonfinancial.com.
On our Sports & Gaming telephone hotline (no charge for
the call) we are going to give you one of our actual late
telephone selections for free this coming Saturday morning.
It won’t be overtly stated on the call that it is one
of our phone plays, but it will be one of our top plays of
the weekend. We’ll be up no later than 8AM Eastern Time
with this game and you can call the hotline at 1-770-618-8700
(a local Atlanta number). Incidentally, this number broadcasts
information every game day. Be sure to give 1-770-618-8700
a call any time you’re looking for info on Thursday,
Saturday, Sunday, and Mondays, as well as days in between
where they really shouldn’t have football but ESPN2
needed some programming.
The Jaguars head to Baltimore this week in a battle of rookie
quarterbacks. Both Kyle Boller and Byron Leftwich are promising
specimens, but neither is ready for prime time. This is not
a knock on either one of them, as few rookies are ready for
such duty. This is a letdown situation for the Ravens, and
therefore seems to be a good spot for Jacksonville off of
their usual home loss to the Titans. But the Ravens defense
continues to resemble the 2000 version. The Ravens D allows
only 3.6 yards per rush (6th in the NFL) and only 5.6 yards
per pass attempt (7th in the NFL). The Jags average only 95
yards rushing on 3.8 yards per carry, so they’ll do
little on the ground. Someday Leftwich will likely be good
enough to carry an offense without a running game, but not
yet. The Ravens average rushing yardage advantage is 180 to
96. Look for the ferocious defense and pounding running game
to propel the Ravens to an impressive win on their strong
home field.
Thanks for taking the time to read us. Good luck and be careful.
If you’d like to get this newsletter directly via
email you can do so by signing up at http://www.consumerbet.com/email.html
Kevin O’Neill is the director of content for www.consumerbet.com.
His 24-hour free telephone selection hotline can be accessed
by calling 1-770-618-8700.
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