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By Kevin O’Neill
Trailing 17-16 Mike Sherman did not have the Packers prepared
for their only opportunity to win in the final two minutes of
their game with the Bucs. No time outs with 1:58 left, it is
a Bucs first down inside the Green Bay 20. Barring a Joe Pisarcik
moment, the only way to win the game is to let the other team
score. The Bucs give the ball to Cadillac, but despite coming
out of the two-minute warning, the Packers aren’t prepared
for the opportunity to let him score. Williams went down rather
easily, not wanting to fumble, but actually tried to make a
bit of headway and if unchallenged, likely would have scored.
That would have made the margin 8, giving Brett Favre and the
Packers a chance to tie it up, instead of losing by 1, as they
did when Brian Griese took a knee on the next two plays.
How did Nick Saban get away with having more assistants than
is allowed by NCAA regulations when he was at LSU? There are
no limits on strength and conditioning coaches, and no limits
to the LSU football budget, so Saban would give guys strength
and conditioning titles and then have them work with specific
position groups on the field. It will be interesting to see
if the NCAA does anything about phony “strength coaches”
after Brian Baldinger told that story on the Fox broadcast
of the Dolphins/Panthers game last week. Speaking of LSU,
that was a nice gig Les Miles had at Oklahoma State. Reasonable
expectations and a couple of wins over Oklahoma granted Miles
a lot of leeway in Stillwater, but he’s got his feet
to the fire after LSU’s colossal choke against Tennessee.
If you haven’t seen my 16-page football annual, there
are precious few copies remaining, but a lot of value in them.
Visiting http://www.consumerbet.com/signup.html
will get a copy sent to you for no charge. Weekend calls to
the recorded hotline at 770-618-8700 gets you some weekend
analysis as well, and the complimentary play on Saturday will
be well thought out. Never a bad idea to visit www.Vegas5.com
and see some of the fine work that is going on there as well.
Thanks to those who came out for the Stardust Invitational
on Friday night. Despite an uninspiring performance, I was
fortunate to win my Stardust Invitational matchup against
Jay Ginsbach this weekend. Fairway Jay’s a sharp handicapper
with a solid documented record but had a rough card this weekend.
The Stardust is unfair in that anyone can have a bad weekend
at any time, but in this 16-man single elimination showdown
there is no way to bounce back after a tough week. Jay’s
a nice guy and I hope he gets another shot some year soon
and makes a good accounting of himself. I underperformed my
actual winning performance for my customers over the weekend
by going 3-4 in the contest by staying off of some games that
the Stardust didn’t have favorable lines on and using
others with good value at the Stardust that I did not end
up betting myself and releasing to my customers. That’s
the smart way to play but didn’t work in this instance.
The reverse of that was true a couple of years ago when I
went 7-0 in the Stardust. The three games I cut from the contest
that went to my customers went 1-2. Skill wins out in the
long run but luck has a lot to do with short-term results.
Let’s talk some more about betting, handicapping, and
luck. No whining from this corner about my loss on Purdue,
a 3½ -point dog that lost by a TD in double overtime.
Why no whining? Because it serves no purpose, creating a negative
vibe that cannot possibly positively influence your handicapping
and betting. Besides, I also had TCU, which I had all but
written down an “L” next to before their big comeback
in Provo. Luck evens out in the long run. In this case it
evened out in the short run as well.
Nobody ever notices the offensive linemen. Amid all the attention
to Rodney Harrison’s injury, the undercovered story
of the week is the loss of Matt Light in the midst of the
Patriots “upset” win over the Steelers. Light,
the Patriots best offensive lineman, protecting Tom Brady’s
blind side in 63 consecutive starts at left tackle. But the
Pats, as the Pats do, just plugged in another guy, and rookie
Nick Kaczur (3rd round draft pick) from Toledo played well
after a shaky first series.
Segueing from a MAC rookie in the NFL to a look at a MAC
affair this weekend, we’re going to suggest taking the
points with Central Michigan against Akron. Both teams off
of overtime affairs, but they way things played out in those
contests favors visiting Central Michigan. CMU lost in overtime
to archrival Eastern Michigan for the second consecutive year
by a 23-20 count. CMU’s coach Brian Kelly was pleased
with the defensive effort but disappointed that the offense
couldn’t do any more than notch 7 points in the second
half. Akron was thrilled with their overtime upset of Northern
Illinois. Worth mentioning, however, that Akron had the game
in hand before giving up three touchdowns in the 4th quarter,
which may engender a sense of relief rather than momentum
that can be built upon. Points look tempting as we’ll
buck the satisfied team and take the points with the better
defense.
Kyle Vanden Bosch of the Titans has is the league’s
leading sacker, with 5. With two bad knees, the Titans are
understandably thrilled with the Arizona Cardinals castoff,
who only makes the veteran minimum of $455,000. And if you
had to come up with the team that would have set this guy,
a virtual freebie, loose, it would have to be the Cardinals,
wouldn’t it?
Another historically bad franchise, the Bengals, have turned
things around, but only on the field. The Bengals are unleashing
collection agencies on fans that paid $150 per pop for seat
licenses back in 1996 but are now not purchasing tickets.
The contract language says, "failure to purchase your
season tickets will forfeit your right to your (seat license)."
But the Bengals are doing much more than taking away that
right; they are threatening the good credit of their fans
while hitting them up for the full value of tickets they have
not purchased.
If you didn’t know it was from the Onion, wouldn’t
you believe the following story for a little bit?
PHILADELPHIA—Eagles wideout Terrell Owens, who recently
returned to his team after a training-camp holdout on the
second year of his seven-year, $49 million contract, took
time Monday to verbally blast the amount, duration, and bonuses
of whatever contract he signs next.
“It's going to be a damn travesty," said
the 31-year-old All-Pro, speaking to reporters months or
even years before the hypothetical contract is drawn up.
"A travesty. I'm one of the best receivers in this
league—hell, after the incredible, record-breaking
season I'm sure I'll have had when I sign this next contract,
I might be the best ever. But I wouldn't go so far as to
call this next contract the best ever. It's going to be
an insult on the part of whichever team I eventually sign
with, and they'll know it. I demand they give me what I
really deserve."
"I know I'm a top player in this game," Owens
added. "But my next contract simply won't reflect that."
Moving from guy with a bad attitude to a game being played
in altitude (awful, I know), consider using the under in the
Cards/49ers game being played in Mexico City. The Niners are
coming off an abnormally high scoring game in their 34-31
loss to Dallas. Very high scoring games can sometimes leave
an offense satisfied and a defense working harder, which leads
to an under in the very next game. Very seldom do you see
a game being played between two teams that each allow more
than 6 yards per play, but it is also rare to see a game between
two teams that have running games so putrid that they both
average less than 75 yards per game on less than 3.5 yards
per carry. Tough to see how these two offensive teams damage
their defensively weak opponents, and the Niners pattern suggests
this game may go under the total.
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Have a great weekend. Good luck and be careful.
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