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ACC
Projected Champion: Virginia
Usually a winning team that outgains only three opponents
would look ripe for a fall. But that is not the case
in Charlottesville, where Al Groh is rebuilding Virginia
at a rapid pace. Last year, with the youngest roster
in Division 1A college football, UVA won nine games.
The Cavs capped things off with a devastating 48-22
bowl win over West Virginia in a game that really wasn’t
that close. Groh has recruited up a storm and the Cavs
have speed and talent all over the field.
Virginia is thin in some spots. The Cavs had to cancel
their spring game when injuries and attrition left them
without a healthy center. With their youth, some will
probably view them as a year away from greatness. But
with loads of young talent, a solid coach, last year’s
conference MVP (Matt Schaub) at QB, and the confidence
developed during last year’s stretch run, we’ll
put the buy sign out of the Cavs and call for them to
win a wide open conference crown over contenders Maryland,
NC State, and FSU. Don’t be surprised if Virginia
is a dominant team in the ACC in two or three years.
Spotlight Team: Florida
State
With Virginia, NC State, and Maryland on the upswing,
and a world of internal problems, FSU may be a program
in decline. Of course, a decline at Florida State isn’t
quite a decline at say, Wake Forest or Duke. There is
still talent by the bucket in the Sunshine State and
FSU has been able to recruit nationally over the years.
But the days where the Seminoles were simply a farm
team for the NFL may be over and a series of scandals
may do some pretty serious damage in Talahassee.
Chris Rix will be the quarterback once again, but last
season was called out for his performance by teammates
in a way rarely seen at this level. If he makes the
same kind of mistakes he has made in the past there
could be quite a bit of internal dissension among the
‘noles. With their talent level down a bit, it
could be catch up time for others in the ACC. Don’t
be surprised if news breaks over the summer about considerable
scandal at Florida State and the consensus in Tallahassee
becomes that the great Bobby Bowden is reaching the
point where the welcome mat begins to be rolled up a
bit. They’ll still have talent. They’ll
still have speed. But they ain’t what they used
to be and FSU may have some serious problems that result
in player suspensions and NCAA probation.
Big East
Projected Champion: Miami
The Hurricanes have lost absolutely staggering amounts
of talent yet again this year. The eight draftees, four
of whom went in the first round, brings the three year
total to Draftees: 26, First Rounders 13. Despite this
loss, the Hurricanes have 13 returning starters from
a team that was one late, late, late, late, late flag
away from a second consecutive national championship.
You can expect that they will be just as dominant this
year. Before worrying too much about the loss of Willis
McGahee, keep in mind that he wasn’t even supposed
to be the starting running back for the Hurricanes last
year. That distinction would have gone to Frank Gore
had Gore not torn up his knee in the spring.
The defense did slip a bit last year, giving up 19
points per game after allowing only 10 the previous
year. But they still allowed only 285 yards per game
and the pass D was nearly impenetrable. The run defense
was soft with big leads late in games, but that can
be expected. Great linebackers, inexperienced defensive
line, but most of those d-linemen will likely be NFL
draft picks in the future. Expect a defense that is
top five in speed, athleticism, talent and production.
“At Virginia Tech” is one of four road
games vs. teams that won 9 games or more last season.
Other than the schedule, not a lot of reason to buck
what seems obvious here. Another slight drawback is
that when Brock Berlin (blue-chip Florida transfer)
won the quarterback job Derrick Crudup, Jr.’s
meddling father claimed it was racially motivated. Crudup,
Jr. apologized but it will be interesting to say how
the Hurricanes, most of whom are African-American, will
react if Berlin, who is white, gets off to a shaky start.
24-1 Larry Coker clearly isn’t the worst coach
in the world, and he should keep the ‘canes on
task. Look for Miami to win another Big East title and
be a major player in the national championship chase.
Spotlight Team: Rutgers
Following the 2000 season Greg Schiano left the Miami
staff and the Garden State native took over at Rutgers,
calling it “the best job in the country”.
Yes, he really said that. A couple weeks later Butch
Davis left Miami for the Cleveland Browns and Schiano
would have been co-frontrunner with Larry Coker for
the ‘canes job. Schiano could be 24-1 instead
of 3-20 right now but for the vagaries of timing.
The entire Rutgers staff is from New Jersey and they
have recruited extremely aggressively in the state.
Some blue chippers are getting to the point where they
have been around for a couple of years and should start
contributing this fall. There has been some attrition
in the ranks, transfers, players leaving the program,
etc. but the Scarlet Knights are on the right path in
their efforts to keep players home in this talent-laden
state.
Still, it is a steep hill to climb, and with only five
offensive starters back from a team that averaged 14
points and 214 yards last fall, don’t look for
the scoreboard to be lit up in New Brunswick. If the
ACC expands to include Miami, BC, and Syracuse, Rutgers
could soon find themselves without a football conference.
If that happens the Rutgers job could go from difficult
to impossible in a hurry.
Big Ten
Champion: Ohio State
Ohio State drew 57,000 for their spring game and are
the only BCS conference school in football-mad Ohio.
Add in all the tradition and there are few other schools
with such built in advantages. The 14-0 record and national
championship gives them a serious bump in the recruiting
world, where they have never suffered to start with.
Jim Tressel is clearly as tremendous coach at the Division
1 level as he was at Division 3, and not only for his
splendid onfield performance and propensity to win close
games. Tressel has completely transformed a dysfunctional
Ohio State program, instilling discipline and recruiting
a higher caliber individual than did his predecessor.
Buckeye fans should be pleased that their club is in
such good hands.
If Ohio State had a weakness last year it was their
offense, which despite criticism averaged 29 points
per and 364 yards per game. They should improve on that
side of the ball with all eleven starters returning.
Their ferocious 13 points per game defense returns six
starters and you can be certain that there is some precocious
young talent in Buckeyeland. 14-0 with 16 returning
starters makes Ohio State the call for Big Ten supremacy.
Spotlight team: Iowa
Four years ago Iowa told Bobby Stoops they would get
back to him after he interviewed for the Hawkeyes job.
Stoops and his brother Mike played for Iowa and their
dad, a high school football coach in Ohio, was buried
in a Hawkeye jersey. It would have been difficult to
say no to the alma mater if they came after him hard.
When they dawdled, Bobby Stoops accepted the Oklahoma
job, brining Mike in as his defensive coordinator. Kirk
Ferentz seemed like a booby prize in comparison but
what a job he’s done. Iowa was an absolute mess
when he took over the program. Last season they were
a fourth quarter collapse against Iowa State away from
playing for the national championship.
The six offensive starters that Iowa loses include
QB Brad Banks (2573 passing yards), but NFL types will
tell you that Ferentz and his staff are among the best
in the land at player development. Banks, who was not
drafted, was a huge surprise last year and we can expect
that Nathan Chandler will be productive. RB Fred Russell
was outstanding last year (1338 rushing yards) but there
isn’t the quality depth expected as Jernelle Lewis
(5.8 yards per rush last season) tore his ACL in the
spring. The skill people play behind Robert Gallery,
possibly the best offensive lineman in the nation.
The defense has seven returning starters and looked
great in the spring. The linebacking corps is a particular
strength for the Hawkeyes. On special teams, Nate Kaeding
won the Groza Award as the nation’s top kicker.
Coach Ferentz defelected interest from the NFL this
offseason, as he was under consideration for the Jaguars
job and signed a lucrative contract extension to stay
in Iowa City. As long as Frenentz is at Iowa, expect
the Hawkeyes to be a perennial challenger in the Big
Ten.
Big Twelve
Projected Champion: Oklahoma
When picking a champ out of this conference, why go
anywhere else? Oklahoma simply has the best coaching
staff in the nation and are superior in big games. When
the Sooners are up for a game, there is no tougher squad.
The problem the past two years has been that you can’t
be up for every game, as consecutive losses to Oklahoma
State and last year’s defeat at Texas A&M
show. The Sooners proved susceptible to the long ball
in their losses last season.
The Sooners are 36-4 the past three years and return
nine defensive starters to a stop unit that has given
up an average of 15 points or less and fewer than 300
yards per game the past three years. The linebackers
are spectacular and DL Tommie Harris, last season’s
Sports Illustrated cover boy, is over the injuries that
hobbled him last year. Oklahoma has their usual question
marks at QB but Coach Stoops was pleased with the offense
in spring practice and the opportunistic D will create
plenty of scoring opportunities.
Texas will have a world of talent once again, but we’ve
seen who the superior coaching staff is in the Red River
Rivalry. Texas A&M and Oklahoma State are both on
the upswing. But Oklahoma is the clear call, and may
have both the best defense and top coaching staff in
the country.
Spotlight Team/ Projected Division
Champion: Kansas State
Kansas State just keeps on plugging away, winning eleven
games four of the past five years. The remarkable consistency
goes back further, as other in their injury riddled
2001 season the Wildcats have won nine games or more
every year since 1993. Bill Snyder pulls in a lot of
talent, as he doesn’t exactly work under a lot
of restrictions from the admissions department at KSU.
The Wildcats always have loads of speed, and turn their
athleticism into defensive and special teams points
more efficiently than anyone else in the country.
The Wildcats have plenty of skill position talent back
on offense, especially Darren Sproles at RB. They need
to replace their tackles on the line and QB Ell Roberson
has been productive but struggles when the running game
isn’t clicking. K-State is always strong on defense
and is bolstered further this fall by junior college
transfer Marvin Simmons, a monster linebacker who originally
signed with Southern Cal but didn’t make grades
out of high school. KSU always has significant jucos
in their recruiting class who are ready to contribute
immediately so there is less reason for concern when
they only return 12 starters, as they do this year.
With their consistency, talent, killer instinct, and
the recent decline of the Nebraska program, we’ll
look for Kansas State to win the Big 12 North. We have
them losing to Oklahoma in the championship game but
don’t be surprised if the Manhattanites make a
strong run at Snyder’s first national championship.
Conference USA
Projected Champion: South
Florida
South Florida has had a football team only since 1997
(losing to Elon, Drake, and Southern Illinois), but
they’ve made incredible strides since then and
it would not shock us to see them win the CUSA title
in their initial year in the league. The Bulls went
9-2 last year as an independent, beating all four Conference
USA teams they played. With a stream of Sunshine State
talent ending up in Tampa, USF may just be the best
program in the league.
They return 12 starters and their stellar defense allowed
only 19 points and 309 yards per game last year on 2.3
yards per rush. The defense dominated the spring game
but the offense should be OK, with seven returning starters.
QB Marquel Blackwell is gone, but Ronnie Banks was outstanding
in limited relief opportunities and several productive
receivers return. 31 points per game might be tough
to match, but there will be enough production to support
the defense.
The Bulls enter CUSA in a year where there doesn’t
seem to be a team ready to make noise nationally in
the league. East Carolina and Southern Miss both return
13 starters but neither is as strong as they were a
couple of years back. Southern Miss, Cincinnati, Louisville
and TCU all return 11 starters or fewer. The Bulls get
Louisville, TCU and Cincinnati on their strong home
field, where they’ve won 19 straight games since
losing to Hofstra (yes, Hofstra) to close the 1999 season.
South Florida got screwed by the bowls despite last
year’s 9-2 mark. Don’t look for that to
happen again this year if, as we expect, they make some
noise in their first season in Conference USA.
Spotlight Team: East
Carolina
East Carolina has been known for their offensive wizardry
in recent years under Steve Logan, but last year the
Pirates crashed from 35 points and 423 yards per game
to averaging only 28 points on 339 yards. Logan was
fired, perhaps unjustly. Logan had never really received
the support you would think he deserved for the long
term job he did at ECU.
The real problem in Greenville was the defense, and
the past two years the Pirates defense has been a sieve.
They allowed 30 points on 429 yards in 2001 and efforts
to improve those numbers were fruitless, with 33 points
and 446 yards allowed in 2002. New coach John Thompson
inherits 13 returning starters, eight on offense and
five on defense. East Carolina will likely become a
much more defensive oriented program under Thompson,
who did fine work as a defensive coordinator at Memphis,
Arkansas, and Florida.
The Pirates have won only four of their last fifteen
games, but look for improvement at ECU. The offense
should improve due to the eight returning starters.
The defense should improve due to Thompson’s prowess
on that side of the ball and penchant for stunting and
blitzing. The recent decline of performance in Greenville
should begin to turn around this fall.
MAC
Projected Champion: Marshall
Marshall is now 46-6 since joining the MAC and several
of their losses have occurred in meaningless games where
a championship game berth had already been decided.
The Herd have won bowl games each of the past five years.
Despite the loss of Byron Leftwich, Marshall should
thrive under Stan Hill. Hill threw for four TD’s
and scored the game-winning TD with one second left
over Miami of Ohio in his lone start for the Thundering
Herd. He’s a talented player and we could be seeing
a long line of outstanding Marshall QB’s started
by Chad Pennington. Hill has been in a couple of relatively
“drunk ‘n stupid” legal flaps in the
past year, so he has to clean up his act in that regard.
With only twelve starters returning, it might be trendy
to look to beat Marshall, but the train just keeps a
rollin’ in Huntington. The offense is there (Marshall’s
production actually DROPPED to 35 points and 496 yards
last fall) and the defense improved by 95 yards per
game from 2000 to 2001. Marshall is the class of the
conference and it will take the best of a quality opponent
to keep them from another MAC crown.
Spotlight Team/ Projected Division
Champion: Toledo
As Marshall has been the class of the conference overall,
Toledo has been dominant in the Western Division the
past few years. Although the 49-45 championship loss
to Marshall was terribly disappointing and giving up
51 points on 491 yards to Boston College in the Motor
City Bowl stung, the Rockets are still the best in their
division.
Guard Noah Swartz (Cowboys free agent) and wideout
Carl Ford (Packers 7th round pick) both have shots to
be playing on Sunday this fall and four other offensive
starters will be missed. QB’s Bruce Gradkowski
and Cedric Stevens both impressed in the spring and
they will continue to compete for the signal caller’s
slot in the fall. The defense is in better shape, with
eight returning starters. There is room for improvement
on the stop side, as Toledo gave up 31 points or more
in four of their five losses last fall.
A lot of mid-major programs would sag after losing
a top name coach to the BCS world, but the Rockets haven’t
missed a beat under “Toledo” Tom Amstutz.
With 13 returning starters we will call for the Rockets
to impress once again. Toledo won’t score 37 points
or more eight times like last year, but an improved
defense will make life tough for those visiting the
Glass Bowl this fall.
Mountain West
Projected Champion: BYU
BYU had a terrible year last year but they still possess
advantages unmatched by any in the conference. They
have the biggest fan base, best facilities, and the
most money of anyone in the Mountain West as well as
all the other advantages that come from being a central
focus of Mormon Church life. The biggest problem last
year was the collapse of the offense, which went from
44 points and 523 yards per game in 2001 to a pathetic
23 points and 382 yards last season. Injuries and poor
quarterback play was responsible for much of that. With
Gary Crowton entering his third season and starting
to have a majority of contributors being people he brought
into the program, look for last year’s offensive
troubles to be an exception to what should be an outstanding
offensive tradition.
Lost in last season’s 5-7 disappointment was
the improvement of the defense. The Cougars improved
by 52 yards. With all eleven starters back on defense
we’ll see the development on that side of the
ball turn reflected on the scoreboard as well as in
yardage.
BYU should react well to last season’s problems.
You often hear of the “maturity” brought
on by having a player marriage rate 30 times that of
the Pac 10, Big 12, and Big 10. Another advantage that
BYU has is a preponderance of thickly-muscled South
Pacific natives. In fact, 30% of all Cougar players
are either Tongan or Samoan. Look for the Cougars beautiful
new indoor practice facility to be an advantage when
it starts snowing in Provo in October or so. Don’t
be surprised if all these advantages lead BYU to become
the conference dynasty they were in the 1980’s.
Spotlight Team: Air Force
Entering his 20th year as head coach in Colorado Springs,
Fisher DeBerry is used to the limitations of coaching
at a military and the past three years has returned
only 8, 7, and 10 starters to his Falcon clubs. What
a nice surprise for DeBerry this season to have the
most starters back in his coaching career. 15 returning
starters fill the Air Force roster, which is unheard
of in academy circles.
Chance Harridge returns at QB for Air Force, and it
is always a load off an option coach’s mind to
have a triggerman who knows the system, understands
timing, etc. The Falcons started 6-0 before being dominated
by a much bigger Notre Dame team in a 21-14 loss where
they were outgained 447-161. Notre Dame is not on the
schedule this season but the Falcons catch their tougher
conference foes on the road, with games at BYU, at Colorado
State, and at New Mexico. With all these starters back
from a team that played mighty Virginia Tech so tough
in a 20-13 bowl loss, look for the Falcons to have another
strong year under a coach who is a sure-fire future
Hall of Famer.
Pac Ten
Projected Champion: Southern
Cal
Pete Carroll is going to be a good college coach. His
enthusiastic approach, even if it is somewhat self-serving
at times, fits well into the college game. Back at NC
State, David Rivers thrived under the tutelage of offensive
coordinator Norm Chow as a true freshman. That’s
why it was so surprising when the incredibly talented
Carson Palmer struggled in his junior year under Chow.
His senior Heisman campaign showed that Palmer was just
a bit slow on the uptake and the offense should continue
to succeed this fall, as all Chow offenses have for
the past three decades. Matt Leinert will likely start
at QB and whoever gets the job should be productive.
A tough opener at Auburn will help prepare the Men
of Troy for further tests down the road. Despite being
located in a slum, USC has a lot of built in advantages
that come with their tradition and glamour. They return
six starters on each side of the ball, and that’s
a good number to have considering their dominance down
the stretch last year. To earn a 550-323 yardage against
a team as good as Iowa was positively eye-opening. After
underachieving for more than a decade, the Trojans may
be a program on the upswing and we’ll call for
them to win the Pac Ten title this fall.
Spotlight Team: Arizona
While we admired the willingness of the Arizona administration
to back their coach after last season’s player
revolt, it is clear that retread John Mackovic was not
the right man for the job. The Wildcats would be in
better shape right now had they kept Dick Tomey and
it is unlikely that they would have lost 14 of 23 games
the past couple of years with Tomey on the sidelines.
ESPN had a documentary camera crew following the Wildcats
during his initial season and it was obvious that the
players were not responding to him. In the trendy west
we see hot, young coaches like Jeff Tedford at Cal and
Dirk Koetter at Arizona State making waves, and to hire
a guy who has been around the block as much as Mackovic
clearly didn’t excite anybody.
In addition to the player revolt last season Arizona
has had disciplinary problems this offseason, with a
couple of players possessing large quantities of dope.
West coast recruiting analysts have not been impressed
with the caliber of athlete choosing to go to Arizona.
You can imagine that other Pac Ten recruiters made sure
that high schoolers, their parents, and coaches were
well aware of the internal problems in Tuscon. If the
13 returning starters step up, Arizona could have a
decent year, but more likely, the Wildcats will be looking
for fresh face to head up their program in a year or
two.
SEC
Projected Champion: Georgia
Georgia has been a sleeping giant of a program and Marc
Richt has provided the awakening. The Peach State has
never lacked for talent but Ray Goff had trouble making
the best use of his talent and during his reign the
Bulldogs consistently had guys who didn’t do a
lot in Athens turn out to be stars in the NFL. Under
Jim Donnan the inmates sometimes seemed to be running
the asylum. Since Richt took over Georgia has made substantial
steps towards improving the character of their players.
Freshman are required to take an early morning class
once a week on making the right decisions, honesty,
treating women, and other character attributes that
far too many coddled athletes in today’s society
don’t get growing up. That didn’t prevent
a minor drug scandal this spring, as five freshman were
discovered to be smoking pot in a dorm room. All five
will receive two game suspensions.
David Greene is a tremendous leader at QB and there
is plenty of talent surrounding him. Only two of the
ten are also returning starters, however. Look for the
offensive line to struggle at times, as they can’t
expect to have nearly the cohesiveness of last year’s
all-senior lineup. Seven starters return on defense
and the Atlanta papers were buzzing about he performance
of Odell Thurman at linebacker. The sophomore’s
arrival may mean the Bulldogs miss Boss Bailey a little
bit less than anticipated.
With Florida down a bit and Tennessee underachieving
the past couple of years, we’ll look for the Bulldogs
to pull out the close games thanks to the clutch QB
Greene. Georgia will split with their two aforementioned
nemeses but they’ll win the division and the championship
game on a home-away-from-home field in Atlanta.
Spotlight Team/ Projected Division
Champion: Auburn
At the start of last season Tommy Tuberville was on
the hot seat after a collapse down the stretch in 2001.
The Tigers had their high moments, however, and it is
difficult to overstate how important their upset win
at Alabama was to the fan base. Tuberville is not under
the pressure had has felt in the past and it could be
a big year in the Prettiest City on the Plain.
QB Jason Campbell should improve now that he is not
looking over his shoulder at Daniel Cobb. RB Carnell
“Cadillac” Williams is terrific and returns
in the backfield. When he went down with injury last
year (yes, the Cadillac was in the shop) Ronnie Brown
was a far superior replacement than anyone could legitimately
hope for. The defense had one of the top linebacking
corps in the country last year and should once again,
as both Karlos Dansby and Dontarrious Thomas return.
If there is a question mark on defense it is among the
DB’s, and the young, talented youngsters will
get to prove their worth in the backfield.
With a powerful running game and strong defense, Auburn
should make some noise with their 16 returning starters.
Look for the Tigers to beat out LSU and Ole’ Miss
for Western Division honors and make it to the championship
game in Atlanta.
Sun Belt
Projected Champion: North
Texas
North Texas may be following in the mold of a Central
Florida or South Florida, building a moderately successful
low-budget program with the leftovers in a talent-laden
state. Former Kansas State quarterback Darrell Dickey
is doing a great job with the Mean Green. North Texas
went 6-0 in conference last season and has an 11 game
league winning streak. The season culminated in a surprising
bowl win over Cincinnati. The Mean Green return 13 starters,
none of last year’s seniors were considered NFL
prospects, and their conference opponents regularly
lose to Division 1-AA teams. They should be able to
get the job done again this year.
Scott Hall, who was injured last year, will likely
reclaim the starting QB job from Andrew Smith. Hall
to Ja’Mel Branch should prove to be a potent combination
that adds some needed aerial punch to an offense that
failed to reach 100 yards passing on seven different
occasions last season. The running game notched 200
yards or more on seven different occasions last season
and despite some personnel losses the running game should
work in conference again, but probably not out of conference
against stronger programs.
The clear star of this defense is Brandon Kennedy,
a monstrous defensive tackle who could be a first round
choice in the NFL draft. The D will be the strength
of this club, and shows promise after holding Texas
to 214 total yards last year and limiting TCU to 178
yards. The Mean Green held their first four conference
opponents to a total of 14 points and the punchless
offenses in their conference should have similar trouble
this season.
Though saddled with a brutal early schedule at Oklahoma,
at Air Force, and at Arkansas, North Texas should roll
through the shoddy Sun Belt. The title may come down
to the final game at New Mexico State on November 25th.
With an air of confidence based on recent success and
more talent and depth than the rest of the conference,
we’ll call for the Mean Green to continue their
winning ways. Look for the last two seasons’ Sun
Belt Coach of the Year Darrell Dickey to start to attract
attention from some more prestigious schools.
Spotlight Team: Middle
Tennessee State
2002 was an odd and disappointing year for MTSU. The
Blue Raiders were virtually a unanimous choice to win
the Sun Belt Conference heading into last year and head
coach Andy McCollum was seen as a coach on the upswing.
MTSU returned 14 starters from the previous year, including
Dwone Hicks, a running back of some accomplishment.
With Hicks hurt and no proven quarterback, the Blue
Raider offense struggled, going from averaging 37 points
on 482 yards per game in 2001 to an average of 25 points
on 363 yards. Without the offense pop to overcome their
usual poor defense (28 points, 481 yards) MTSU slipped
from 8-3 to 4-8.
Now Hicks is gone. His productive backfield partner
Reshard Lee is gone. Playmaking receiver Tyrone Calico
was drafted in the second round by the Titans. Only
ten starters return in all. Coach McCollum needs to
provide a fresh spark of enthusiasm in Murpheesboro,
where the Blue Raiders drew less than 10,000 for their
home finale. At the start of last year MTSU looked like
a team on the come. Now they’re just a team returning
fewer than half their starters after losing to SE Missouri
State, Arkansas State, and Idaho last season. The low
level of play in the Sun Belt helps their cause, they
should have better talent than many in the conference,
but last year’s disaster doesn’t offer much
confidence.
WAC
Projected Champion: Boise
State
Returning starters analysis would not lead you to select
Boise State in the WAC. The Broncos return only 3 starters
on offense, 7 on defense. But the three starters on
offense are at QB and in the line, while their backs
and receivers seem to thrive due to the incredibly prolific
offensive system. Let’s remember that this is
a team that hasn’t returned any more than seven
starters on either side of the ball in the three seasons
previous to this one. Boise’s dominant offense
leads us to choose them for the WAC crown this fall.
The Broncos have an incredible 40 wins of the past
four years and they are clearly the most consistent
team in the conference. Their average game last season
was a 46-18 win. They beat Hawaii by 27, Fresno by 46,
Louisiana Tech by 26, and in their home bowl game they
took out Big 12 opponent Iowa State 34-16. Their defense
was excellent, giving up only 340 yards per game despite
the fact that their quick-strike offense kept putting
the D back on the field. This is simply one impressive
program.
Although they return only the three offensive starters
look for Dan Hawkins’ offensive system to continue
to impress. The Broncos travel to Louisiana Tech, Hawaii,
and Fresno but they are 5-1 against those three the
past two years. They won the conference two years ago
when traveling to all three tough venues as well. Look
for Boise State to overcome their inexperience and win
the WAC.
Spotlight Team: Tulsa
After going 1-21 in his last 22 games, Tulsa replaced
the overmatched Keith Burns with Steve Kragthorpe, who
was most recently the Buffalo Bills quarterback coach.
Kragthorpe had previously coached at Texas A&M and
Boston College, and was the offensive coordinator for
Texas A&M teams that went to bowls in three successive
years.
Tulsa is a tough situation. The Golden Hurricane have
not had a winning season since 1991 and play in the
enormous shadow of the Oklahoma Sooners and must deal
with the growing presence of Oklahoma State as well.
If they’re ever to improve this should be the
year. The 16 returning starters should pay attention
to the high regard their coach is held in by such NFLers
as Drew Bledsoe and enthusiasm and belief can be powerful
tools for college athletes. There is not a prodigious
level of talent at Tulsa, but the WAC contains some
beatable teams and Tulsa could be at team on the improve.
They couldn’t get any worse, at least.
About the author: Kevin
O’Neill is an author, researcher, publisher, and
handicapper, as well as director of content for www.ConsumerBet.com.
Readers can claim a free subscription to Kevin’s
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